Insights

Notes from the desks.

Occasional essays from our partners and analysts on the markets, structures, and ideas we are spending the most time on. Written for principals, not for distribution.

Featured
Featured Essay · 11 min read
02 February 2026 Artificial Intelligence

Why every family office needs an AI thesis.

The compounding economics of artificial intelligence are not optional for long-duration capital. We share the framework we use to separate durable advantage from cycle-dependent narrative — and why we believe the next decade of returns will be defined less by the model layer and more by where the cash flows accrue.

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All Essays

Recent writing.

14 March 2026 Distressed

The case for European distressed real estate in 2026.

Refinancing walls, frozen development pipelines, and a generation of vendors with no patience for restructuring are converging.

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02 February 2026 AI

Why every family office needs an AI thesis.

The compounding economics of artificial intelligence are not optional for long-duration capital.

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19 January 2026 Energy

Energy transition: a decade of asymmetric returns.

Battery storage, transmission, and grid-edge infrastructure are entering a build-out cycle that will define the next ten years.

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04 December 2025 Real Estate

The patience premium in prime central London.

What four cycles of London residential development have taught us about underwriting development risk in markets that punish impatience.

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11 November 2025 Approach

Underwriting risk you cannot diversify away.

Concentration is not the opposite of diversification — it is the consequence of conviction. A note on the portfolios we are willing to hold.

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22 October 2025 Distressed

What 'distressed' actually means in 2025.

Three fact patterns we are seeing repeatedly across European credit, and the structures we are using to underwrite them.

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15 September 2025 Energy

The grid is the next bottleneck.

Generation has caught up. Storage is catching up. Transmission has not. Where we are deploying behind the bottleneck.

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28 August 2025 AI

Inference as infrastructure.

Why we believe the inference economy will look more like utilities than like software — and how that reshapes investment frameworks.

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01 July 2025 Founders' Letter

The founders' annual letter, MMXXV.

A summary of the year, the mistakes we made, the positions we are most proud of, and the standard we hold ourselves to.

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Essays are made available to clients of the firm and selected counterparties. Public summaries appear here.

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